The Copa America 2024 is now on countdown: on Thursday, with the match between Argentina and Canada, the tournament begins, which will be played until July 14 in the United States.
With the preparatory friendlies already played and hours before the deadline to submit the final player lists, the sportsbooks have already decreed their favorites.
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According to their statistics, the team with the highest chances of winning is Argentina. The defender of this title, won in 2021 after defeating Brazil at the Maracana, the team led by Lionel Scaloni also comes as the World Cup champions in Qatar 2022 and in the first place of the South American Qualifiers for the 2026 World Cup.
On a second tier as a favorite is Brazil. The five-time world champions and nine-time Copa America winners arrived in the United States with a squad full of stars in great form, like Vinicius, a serious candidate to win the Ballon d’Or after a dream season with Real Madrid.
However, the Seleção is in the midst of rebuilding after poor results under the interim leadership of Fernando Diniz and the arrival at the beginning of this year of Dorival Junior. The new coach has improved the level of play since his arrival, although it remains to be seen how he will do in an official tournament.
Uruguay, Colombia, Mexico, and the United States, in that order, close the list of favorites according to the operators. The analysis from Opta, a company specializing in sports statistics, agrees with the outlook.
𝐂𝐨𝐩𝐚 𝐀𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐢𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬 📈
With the Copa America getting under way on 20 June, we asked the Opta supercomputer to see who the favourites are heading into the tournament in the United States.
Here's our 2024 Copa America predictions.#CA2024
— Opta Analyst (@OptaAnalyst) June 11, 2024
According to their prediction, Argentina is the team with the highest chances of winning the Copa America 2024, followed by Brazil and Uruguay. In fourth place, however, they place the host United States, and then Colombia and Mexico.
On the contrary, according to this analysis from Opta, Bolivia is the team with the least probability of becoming champion. They are followed, from the bottom up, by Jamaica, Panama, Costa Rica, Canada, and Paraguay.
Favorites to be top scorer of the Copa America
As for who will be the top scorer of the tournament, they favor Lionel Messi. The star scored two goals in Argentina’s last friendly against Guatemala.
In second place appears Vini, considered one of the best and most decisive strikers currently. Following him, in order, are the Uruguayan Darwin Núñez, the Argentinian Julián Álvarez, and, on the same level, Brazilian Rodrygo and Argentinian Lautaro Martínez.
